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The Vulnerability of Private Wealth to Government Financial Stress
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QEs, Currency Wars, the Trillion Dollar Platinum Coin and the Route to “Modern” Inflation
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VIDEO - Texas Financial Market Roundtable 2012
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Roadblocks to Recovery an Interview with Dr. Lacy Hunt
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Frank Beck on Investing in Uncertain Times
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The Vulnerability of Private Wealth to Government Financial Stress
Search Results for: economic research report
The Point of No Return for Government Debt
The developed world economies have high government debt loads and as a result retard economic growth. The adoption of central bank quantitative ease (QE) is billed as a monetary policy but in reality is a fiscal policy of debt service reduction. QE creates microscopic bond market yield that in turn creates capital flight. This further lowers income and raises the debt ratio. So efforts to do “Whatever it takes” to save the sovereign are too late and counterproductive. Continue reading
An Ode to George Bailey, Credit in a Banking-less World and How Much QE Is Enough
Though financial regulation has taken the friendly local loan officer (George Bailey) out of the credit equation, the Fed’s Quantitative Ease is creating credit at close to record rates of growth. The credit generation is not in the usual ways, but in amounts sufficient to generate an economic expansion. Read about the creative market response to increases in the monetary base when banks are handcuffed to Dodd-Frank. Continue reading
Regulation, Gravity and The “Isms”: The Education of a President
This week, President Obama unveiled his proposals to enhance economic growth, create quality jobs, and create fairness in income distribution an approach he calls growing from the “middle out.” His plans call for income redistribution under the guise of income “fairness” that might reduce differences in income but at a cost of lower income for all. These lessons of the “isms” were learned centuries ago and relearned after the Great Depression but seemly must be relearned again. This will be an expensive education of a President. Continue reading
Posted in The Spellman Report
Tagged Compliance costs, Economic growth, Gravity, Income redistribution, Laissez Faire, Middle-class income, Obama speeches, Regulation, Regulation as a macroeconomic policy, Regulatory Costs, Supply Side economics, Tax administrative costs, The Invisible Hand
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Is the Printing Press Engaged for the Duration?
A printing press is a handy thing to have. When a government or central bank can fund itself with money or claims on money, it can buy a lot of things and solve a host of problems, all without the need to tax. I wish I had one. Continue reading
The Knockout Punch: Has America Turned to Socialism?
In the days following the election there was a numbing silence. It was as if the body politic was dazed by a heavyweight champion’s blow to the head. It staggered and sought clarity to understand what’s to become of our … Continue reading
What does Thomas Edison have to do with bonds and gold?
In these times of economic upheaval, divergent opinions regarding future inflation exist side by side: Either Grand-scale inflation or deflation, take your pick. The differences are actually not side by side but at either tail of a subjective probably distribution … Continue reading
Milton Friedman and the Monetarist Reflex: Can the Fed create inflation?
These are complicated times, especially when it comes to inflation. An excess of debt, both private and public, has retarded the spending stream, resulting in sluggish economic growth. Given the Fed’s legislated commitment to prevent financial implosion and unemployment, rounds … Continue reading
The Bond Market Rocket and Fiscal Unsustainability Are On a Collision Path
Recently, the bond market has been in rocket mode. It has achieved liftoff and slipped the surly bonds of earth. And some believe it will keep going. The price of the U.S. Treasury 10-year bond recently reached an all-time high, … Continue reading
Posted in The Spellman Report
Tagged AGG, BLV, Bond Market, Bond market valuation, Central banks and inflation, CLY, David Rosenberg, debt deflation, Fiscal and monetary policy, Fiscal sustainability, Fixed income investments, GLD, Gold, Government bond default, Helicopter money, Historic low interest rates, inflation, Inflation targeting, Milton Friedman, Monetarism, Monetary responses to fiscal policy, QE, Real return assets, TBF, The Fed, UBD, Unanticipated inflation, Velocity of money
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Liquidity and Asset Bubbles, But Only if the Dam Holds
The ECB lending program to banks is off and running. On the first day offered, low interest rates loans were subscribed by banks in the amount of $635 Billion, an amount greater than the Fed’s QE2 which took nine months to complete. This is a battle of whether liquidity will trump insolvency and stabilize government debt prices. If it does, it will set off an asset bubble in assets that thrive in low and stable interest rate environments. Continue reading
Posted in The Spellman Report
Tagged ECB lending, Euro debt crisis, Euro financial crisis, insolvency, Liquidity, monetization
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